Teaching about the future
Record details
- ISBN: 9781283532167
- ISBN: 1283532166
- ISBN: 9780230363496
- ISBN: 0230363490
- ISBN: 1137020709
- ISBN: 9781137020703
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Physical Description:
1 online resource : illustrations (some color)
remote - Publisher: Basingstoke, Hampshire ; New York, NY : Palgrave Macmillan, 2012.
Content descriptions
Bibliography, etc. Note: | Includes bibliographical references and index. |
Formatted Contents Note: | Introducing the Future -- Why Teach the Future? -- The Problem of Prediction -- The Future(s) -- Be Prepared -- Imagine the Future -- Create the Future -- The Tricks of Foresight -- Telling Stories -- Pursuing Visions -- The Benefits of Foresight -- Structure of the Book -- PART I: UNDERSTANDING -- Models of Change -- Introduction -- Understanding Change -- What is Change? -- How Much Change is There? -- The Four Dimensions of Change -- A Model of Change: Punctuated Equilibrium -- 'What can we know about the future?' -- [Not] Predicting the Future -- Certainty -- Assumptions -- Types of Futures: the Cone of Plausibility -- Futures Methods -- Some Definitions Around Methods -- Thinking about the Future Framework -- Conclusion -- Resources -- Systems Thinking -- Introduction -- History -- Limits to Growth: Three Strikes! -- Generalization -- System Behaviours -- Approach -- Cybernetic Systems -- Complex Adaptive Systems -- Conclusion -- Resources -- Perspectives on the Future -- Introduction -- History -- Empirical and Cultural -- Critical -- Integral -- Generalization -- Approach -- Causal Layered Analysis -- Integral Futures -- Conclusion -- Resources -- Social Change -- Introduction -- History -- Generalization -- Explaining Social Change -- Critical Assumptions -- Approach -- Conclusion -- Resources -- PART II: MAPPING -- Research -- Introduction -- History -- Generalization -- Choosing a Domain -- Primary Research -- Secondary Research -- Approach -- Research Supports Framework Forecasting -- Conclusion -- Resources -- Scanning -- Introduction -- History -- Generalization -- Why Scanning is Difficult -- Approach -- Identify Scanning Hits -- Scan a Wide Range of Sources -- Operate at Different Levels of the Domain -- Keep an Eye on Wildcards -- Keep Track of Your Hits -- Distinguish Types of Scanning Hits -- Establish Criteria for Evaluating Scanning Hits -- Conclusion -- Resources -- Forecasting -- Introduction -- History -- Generalization -- Forecasting Theory -- Approach: Framework Forecasting -- Summary -- Era Analysis -- Baseline Forecasting -- Critical Thinking -- Baseline Analysis -- Creativity -- Alternative Futures Forecasting -- Scenario Kernels -- Conclusion -- Resources -- PART III: INFLUENCING -- Leadership -- Introduction -- History -- Era I: Traits -- Era 2: Situation -- Era 3: Effectiveness -- Era 4: Contingency -- Era 5: Shared Leadership -- Era 6: Managers and Leaders -- Generalization -- Leadership Distinctions -- Approach -- Leading People into New Territory -- Exploring Boundaries of the Possible -- Committing to Goals They Do Not Know How to Achieve -- Building Bridges When They Only Know One Side of the River -- Motivating People to Do What They Don't Want to Do -- Conclusion -- Resources -- Visioning -- Introduction -- History -- Generalization -- Attributes of a Vision -- Vision Statements -- Approach -- Values -- Background -- Conclusion -- Resources -- Planning -- Introduction -- History -- Generalization -- Approach -- Planning to Plan -- Understanding the Future -- Setting the Direction -- Developing the Plan -- Conclusion -- Resources -- Change Management -- Introduction -- History -- Generalization -- Establish a Sense of Urgency -- Form a Powerful Guiding Coalition -- ... Is Rarely Chosen; it is Almost Always Forced by External Circumstances -- ... Always Creates Disagreements About Timing and Scope -- ... Is Always Uneven, Disorganized, Messy, Chaotic -- ... Always Politicizes Communication -- ... Always Changes the Relative Position of Groups -- ... Always Occurs One Person at a Time -- ... Is Never Fully Adopted by Force -- Approach -- Have a Good Reason -- Be Honest about the Process -- Articulate a Vision -- Commit to Achieve the Vision -- Communicate! -- Generate Trust -- Conclusion -- Resources -- Appendices -- Appendix 1: Framework Forecasting Specification -- Appendix 2: World Futures -- Appendix 2: World Futures -- Appendix 3: Scanning Form and Explanation. |
Source of Description Note: | Description based on online resource; title from digital title page (viewed on November 10, 2020). |
Search for related items by subject
Subject: | Forecasting -- Study and teaching Social forecasting, future studies SOCIAL SCIENCE -- Future Studies Society Forecasting -- Study and teaching |